Employment Projections
Detailed employment projections for long-term space demand
Which municipalities and sectors will gain or lose jobs in the coming years? Our localized employment projections provide concrete answers up to the year 2055, differentiated by region and sector.
The evolution of the workforce is a decisive factor for location decisions, investments, and spatial planning. With its standardized employment projection model, Wüest Partner offers a unique tool in Switzerland that maps future labor market trends at the municipal level up to 2055, broken down into nine sector groups (e.g., manufacturing, trade and logistics, ICT and finance). This approach creates transparency regarding one of the most important drivers of economic development.
The core component of the model is the analysis of domestic labor potential, structural change, sector-specific trends, and the expected impacts of new technologies such as artificial intelligence. These are supplemented by proprietary forward-looking indicators, including location and market ratings, foreseeable construction activity, and development areas.
The Wüest Partner Employment Projections Model
Target scenario
Calibration of municipal and sectoral projections with national developments, taking statistical distributions into account.
National
Short-term projection
Statistical model based on labor market data
Long-term projection
- Population: Population forecast per municipality by age, gender, and nationality
- Labor force participation
- Cross-border commuters
- Unemployment rate
- Sectoral trends
Regional
Community-specific data
- Attractiveness: Location and market rating, company dynamics, rental prices
- Population: Labor supply development within the catchment area, including cross-border commuters
- Development areas: Additional employment generated through large, developable sites
- Construction activity
- Short-term signal: By sector and macro-region
- Historical growth rates
Data sources: FSO, Infopro Digital, Wüest Partner
Use cases
The results can be applied in a variety of ways:
- They serve as a basis for location planning and market analyses,
- Support the assessment of future demand for space, and
- Provide valuable guidance for both the public sector and private investors and developers.
Common use cases include assessing market potential for new real estate projects, analyzing commercial and labor market regions, and supporting the strategic planning of infrastructure and services. The projections reveal opportunities and challenges, enable comparisons between municipalities, and create planning security for long-term decision-making.
Standardized queries on regions and sectors can be accessed via Wüest Dimensions (Market & Location Information) or Wüest Reports.
Customized, in-depth evaluations
We also offer tailored analyses to address specific questions — for example, through scenario calculations that depict different economic or technological developments, detailed analyses of individual sectors, or project-specific evaluations linked to construction projects or development sites. This creates a flexible basis for decision-making, tailored to our clients’ unique needs.
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